Polkadot, Cosmos, Tezos most likely to follow in the footsteps of Solana
By and large, Layer-2 blockchain protocols have massively grown over the past few months. The tokens associated with the respective networks, in turn, have registered stellar performances in 2021. However, Ethereum-compatible Layer-1 chains like Cosmos, Tezos and Polkadot have been stealing the show of late.
The aforementioned alts have also fetched their HODLers with pretty-solid returns over the past month. Cosmos value, for starters, has appreciated by over 92% in the last 30-days. In the same timeframe, Tezos and Polkadot have risen by 73% and 41% respectively.
So, which alt is a better pick?
To answer the aforementioned question, it becomes crucial to look into the state of a couple of metrics. Consider the Stock-to-Flow, for starters. The reading of this ratio, at the time of writing, reflected values of 10.01 [DOT], 13.76 [XTZ] and 16.33 [ATOM] respectively. As such, the S2F model quantifies scarcity of a particular asset by taking into account parameters like the total supply and annual production.
A higher value signifies less supply entering the market and, in retrospect, translates into more scarcity. The same eventually aids the asset’s price in inching higher. After weighing in the aforementioned readings, ATOM clearly leads the race and is followed by XTZ and DOT respectively.
State of XTZ’s metrics || Source: Messari
If risk adjusted returns were to be considered, Cosmos yet again led the pack and was followed by Tezos and then Polkadot. That being said, it should be noted that the the Sharpe Ratio of the alts depicted values of 5.6, 4.6 and 3.9 at the time of writing.
Additionally, the 30-day average volatility of all the three alts remained well below 2, making the environment for sustained growth quite favorable. A highly volatile market usually opens the door for a dramatic price move in either direction, but moderate levels usually foster an uptrend more than a downtrend.
Further, the developmental activity going-on on the respective networks, in conjunction, has been pretty impressive of late. The pace of work on GitHub has also, by and large, been good enough for these alts.
Sharpe Ratio – DOT || Source: Messari
As such, all the three alts would add immense value to investors’ portfolios if held for the long term. However, if the short term is concerned, Cosmos seems to a better pick as per the state of the metrics.
Is there room for more appreciation?
Well, apart from a couple of immediate resistance levels around $30 and $31, Cosmos did not seem to have any other hurdle on its path. Volumes have been on the rise for this alt and it has been trading well above its moving averages too. If the buying pressure further intensifies, traders can expect this alt to breach its May highs within the next few trading sessions. A failure to do so, would see the alt hovering back around $27.
In fact, popular analyst Michael van de Poppe, in a recent video asserted the same and said,
“If I would have to choose a coin that’s going to follow Solana and it has to be a layer-one solution, it’d either be Tezos, Polkadot or it’s going to be Cosmos, and given the structure, it looks amazing.”
Trading at $6.22 and $32.7 at press time, Tezos and Polkadot too did not seem to be quite distant from their May highs of $49.7 and $8.4.
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Lavina Daryanani, Khareem Sudlow